The war after next is here – what does the elephant look like?

A comprehensive paradigm of future wars can be defined, and is called in this article “Extended conflicts.” These can be characterized by strategic attrition, to which all national resources and all possible international legitimacy are mobilized, in order to achieve a resolution by transformation of the opponent. The use of military force in this kind of conflict is limited. The understanding that we are facing an era of extended conflicts will improve the way it is utilized.     

The effects of model parameter deviations on the variance of a linearly filtered time series

We consider a general linear filtering operation on an autoregressive moving average (ARMA) time series. The variance of the filter output, which is an important quantity in many applications, is not known with certainty because it depends on the true ARMA parameters. We derive an expression for the sensitivity (i.e., the partial derivative) of the output variance with respect to deviations in the model parameters. The results provide insight into the robustness of many common statistical methods that are based on linear filtering and also yield approximate confidence intervals for the output variance. We discuss applications to time series forecasting, statistical process control, and automatic feedback control of industrial processes. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

基于ANSYS／LS—DYNA的电子装备爆炸冲击振动损伤建模研究

针对电子装备爆炸冲击振动损伤问题，设计了损伤模拟的基本方案；采用ANSYS／LS—DYNA建立了二维“爆炸源-地面-弹性体-电子装备”模型；通过模型试验，获得了与实际爆炸冲击振动特性相吻合的加速度、位移和应力等数据。     

智能化电子对抗装备发展

当前,智能化武器装备成为世界各国发展的重点,而电子对抗作为新型作战力量将直接影响战争的胜负。文章分析当前电子对抗装备存在的显著不足,论证发展智能化电子对抗装备的迫切性和必要性,明确提出发展智能化电子对抗装备的若干关键技术,阐述智能化电子对抗装备对未来信息化战争的直接影响,以及智能化电子对抗装备未来的发展方向。     

电子时间引信检测仿真试验研究

为提高电子时间引信的检测能力，介绍了电子时间引信检测仿真试验，分析了仿真试验的原理，给出了检测仿真试验的试验方法。经实际检测表明，该检测仿真试验能够安全可靠地完成电子时间引信的日常检测任务。     

The building evacuation problem with shared information

In this article, the Building Evacuation Problem with Shared Information (BEPSI) is formulated as a mixed integer linear program, where the objective is to determine the set of routes along which to send evacuees (supply) from multiple locations throughout a building (sources) to the exits (sinks) such that the total time until all evacuees reach the exits is minimized. The formulation explicitly incorporates the constraints of shared information in providing online instructions to evacuees, ensuring that evacuees departing from an intermediate or source location at a mutual point in time receive common instructions. Arc travel time and capacity, as well as supply at the nodes, are permitted to vary with time and capacity is assumed to be recaptured over time. The BEPSI is shown to be NP‐hard. An exact technique based on Benders decomposition is proposed for its solution. Computational results from numerical experiments on a real‐world network representing a four‐story building are given. Results of experiments employing Benders cuts generated in solving a given problem instance as initial cuts in addressing an updated problem instance are also provided. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

基于干涉仪测向的电子侦察卫星单星定位精度分析

针对信息化战场面临的复杂电磁环境,研究基于二维干涉仪测向方法的电子侦察卫星单星定位体制。分析了电子侦察卫星单星定位原理及定位算法,提出了电子侦察卫星单星测向定位精度GDOP算法,通过仿真定量计算卫星测角误差、卫星姿态误差和卫星位置误差对卫星定位精度的影响程度。结果表明电子侦察卫星测角精度、姿态控制精度和位置测量精度越高,单星定位精度越高。     

电子对抗对空侦察雷达阵地配置优化研究

针对电子对抗对空侦察雷达阵地优化配置问题,通过分析雷达站的侦察范围与定位条件,提出双机定位和三机定位的最优配置模式,分别建立双机定位和三机定位的最优站距、定位纵深、配置间隔、阵地高度等相关参数的计算模型。通过对电子对抗对空侦察雷达阵地优化配置问题进行实例计算,表明模型实用、有效。     

基于分数阶傅立叶变换的ARM检测技术

分数阶傅立叶变换(FRFT)是傅立叶变换的广义形式,对线性调频(LFM)信号具有很好的能量积累作用.针对反辐射导弹(ARM)雷达回波信号的线性调频特性,提出了一种基于FRFT的反辐射导弹检测方法,并根据ARM信号的调频特性将FRFF局域化,缩小了峰值搜索区域,提高了检测效率.仿真实验表明该方法能够在高斯、非高斯分布杂波环境下有效地检测ARM信号.     

基于自适应累量算法的舰船轴频电场信号检测方法

提出一种新的舰船轴频电场信号检测方法.该方法利用高阶累量对高斯噪声的抑制作用,首先使用基于自适应累量算法的FIR滤波器对接收信号进行滤波消噪处理,以提高信噪比;然后再对滤波输出信号进行滑动功率谱检测.实测数据处理结果表明了该方法的稳健性和有效性.